Anthropic vs OpenAI: Which IPOs First?
Head-to-Head Comparison
| Metric | Anthropic | OpenAI |
|---|---|---|
| Valuation | $380B | $852B |
| Total Funding | $18.5B | $27B |
| IPO Readiness Score | 94/100 · A | 93/100 · A |
| IPO Target | October 2026 | Q4 2026 – Q1 2027 |
| Structure | Public Benefit Corp. (from founding) | Public Benefit Corp. (restructured 2025) |
| Key Investors | Google, Amazon, Spark Capital | Microsoft, SoftBank, Tiger Global |
| S-1 Filed | No (as of Apr 2026) | No (as of Apr 2026) |
| Primary Model | Claude (3.5, 3.7) | GPT-4o, o3, o4-mini |
The Case for Anthropic IPO-ing First
Anthropic has the more specific publicly stated timeline: October 2026. The company was structured as a public benefit corporation from its founding in 2021, avoiding the structural restructuring complexity that slowed OpenAI.[1]
Anthropic's IPO Readiness Score of 94/100 (Grade A) reflects:
- Clean corporate structure — no non-profit to for-profit conversion required
- Major strategic investors (Google, Amazon) providing both capital and distribution
- Enterprise-focused Claude models generating significant B2B revenue
- Constitutional AI differentiation in a safety-conscious regulatory environment
The Case for OpenAI IPO-ing First
OpenAI completed its restructuring from a capped-profit LLC to a full public benefit corporation in early 2025, clearing the primary structural barrier to an IPO.[2] At a $852 billion valuation, OpenAI is nearly 2.25x Anthropic's size — making it one of the largest technology IPOs in history if it proceeds.
OpenAI's IPO Readiness Score of 93/100 (Grade A) reflects:
- ChatGPT: 300M+ weekly active users, the most widely used AI product globally
- Microsoft partnership generating significant revenue and distribution
- API business growing rapidly across enterprise and developer segments
- SoftBank's $40B commitment in 2025 signals major institutional confidence
What Could Delay Both?
Regulatory risk is the primary wildcard. Both companies face scrutiny from the EU AI Act, potential U.S. AI regulation, and antitrust concerns around investor relationships (Google invested in both). A regulatory action against either could delay IPO plans significantly.
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Sources & Citations
- Anthropic corporate structure — Public Benefit Corporation registration, 2021. techstackipo.com/company/anthropic
- OpenAI restructuring announcement — conversion to Public Benefit Corporation, 2025. techstackipo.com/company/openai
- TechStackIPO database — IPO Readiness Scores for Anthropic and OpenAI, April 2026. techstackipo.com/research
- SEC EDGAR — No public S-1 filings for Anthropic or OpenAI as of April 22, 2026. sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar